So you have to figure out what your own aptitudes are. If you play games where other people have the aptitudes and you don’t, you’re going to lose. And that’s as close to certain as any prediction you can make. You have to figure out where you’ve got an edge. And you’ve got to play within your own circle of competence.
“Nature arms each man with some faculty which enables him to do easily some feat impossible to any other, and thus makes him necessary to society.”