Quotation Technology Invention
The best way to predict the future is to invent it.
Alan Kay Learning vs. Teaching with Educational Technologies · 1983
Verified
✓ Primary source
Author
Attribution note
Multiple sources attribute this quotation to Alan Kay. In an email dated 17 September 1998 to Peter W. Lount, editor of Smalltalk.org, Kay said he first used the phrase at a meeting at Xerox PARC in 1971 (see link below). However, his article, “Learning vs. Teaching with Educational Technologies”, appears to be the earliest primary source.

Link: http://www.smalltalk.org/people/alankay.html

Category
Also filed under

Alan Kay’s point is that the future is not simply something to forecast. People can influence what comes next by creating technologies, systems and ideas that make new possibilities real. Prediction, in this sense, becomes less important than deliberate invention.

The fuller passage also stresses human agency. Kay argues that people need not regard technological change as something beyond their control: within practical and physical limits, they can decide what they want to achieve and work towards it. The quotation therefore combines invention with initiative and responsibility for shaping outcomes. It does not suggest that every desired future can be produced, but that purposeful design and action can affect which futures become possible.

Full quotation

“First, the best way to predict the future is to invent it, because we can then say, "the future’s there for us to shape—we’re not helpless." As long as we don’t violate too many of Newton’s laws, we can probably make new technology work out. We should decide what we want and then make it happen.”

Variation

“Don’t worry about what anybody else is going to do… The best way to predict the future is to invent it. Really smart people with reasonable funding can do just about anything that doesn’t violate too many of Newton’s Laws!”

✓Copied